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tfp.sts.ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel

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Seasonal state space model with effects constrained to sum to zero.

Inherits From: LinearGaussianStateSpaceModel

tfp.sts.ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel(
    num_timesteps, num_seasons, drift_scale, initial_state_prior,
    observation_noise_scale=0.0001, num_steps_per_season=1, initial_step=0,
    validate_args=False, allow_nan_stats=True, name=None
)

See SeasonalStateSpaceModel for background.

Mathematical details

The constrained model implements a reparameterization of the naive SeasonalStateSpaceModel. Instead of directly representing the seasonal effects in the latent space, the latent space of the constrained model represents the difference between each effect and the mean effect. The following discussion assumes familiarity with the mathematical details of SeasonalStateSpaceModel.

Reparameterization and constraints: let the seasonal effects at a given timestep be E = [e_1, ..., e_N]. The difference between each effect e_i and the mean effect is z_i = e_i - sum_i(e_i)/N. By itself, this transformation is not invertible because recovering the absolute effects requires that we know the mean as well. To fix this, we'll define z_N = sum_i(e_i)/N as the mean effect. It's easy to see that this is invertible: given the mean effect and the differences of the first N - 1 effects from the mean, it's easy to solve for all N effects. Formally, we've defined the invertible linear reparameterization Z = R E, where

R = [1 - 1/N, -1/N,    ..., -1/N
     -1/N,    1 - 1/N, ..., -1/N,
     ...
     1/N,     1/N,     ...,  1/N]

represents the change of basis from 'effect coordinates' E to 'residual coordinates' Z. The Zs form the latent space of the ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel.

To constrain the mean effect z_N to zero, we fix the prior to zero, p(z_N) ~ N(0., 0), and after the transition at each timestep we project z_N back to zero. Note that this projection is linear: to set the Nth dimension to zero, we simply multiply by the identity matrix with a missing element in the bottom right, i.e., Z_constrained = P Z, where P = eye(N) - scatter((N-1, N-1), 1).

Model: concretely, suppose a naive seasonal effect model has initial state prior N(m, S), transition matrix F and noise covariance Q, and observation matrix H. Then the corresponding constrained seasonal effect model has initial state prior N(P R m, P R S R' P'), transition matrix P R F R^-1 and noise covariance F R Q R' F', and observation matrix H R^-1, where the change-of-basis matrix R and constraint projection matrix P are as defined above. This follows directly from applying the reparameterization Z = R E, and then enforcing the zero-sum constraint on the prior and transition noise covariances.

In practice, because the sum of effects z_N is constrained to be zero, it will never contribute a term to any linear operation on the latent space, so we can drop that dimension from the model entirely. ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel does this, so that it implements the N - 1 dimension latent space z_1, ..., z_[N-1].

Note that since we constrained the mean effect to be zero, the latent z_i's now recover their interpretation as the actual effects, z_i = e_i for i =1, ..., N - 1, even though they were originally defined as residuals. TheNth effect is represented only implicitly, as the nonzero mean of the firstN - 1effects. Although the computational represention is not symmetric across allNeffects, we derived theConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModelby starting with a symmetric representation and imposing only a symmetric constraint (the zero-sum constraint), so the probability model remains symmetric over allN` seasonal effects.

Examples

A constrained state-space model with day-of-week seasonality on hourly data:

day_of_week = ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel(
  num_timesteps=30,
  num_seasons=7,
  drift_scale=0.1,
  initial_state_prior=tfd.MultivariateNormalDiag(
    scale_diag=tf.ones([7-1], dtype=tf.float32)),
  num_steps_per_season=24)

A model with basic month-of-year seasonality on daily data, demonstrating seasons of varying length:

month_of_year = ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel(
  num_timesteps=2 * 365,  # 2 years
  num_seasons=12,
  drift_scale=0.1,
  initial_state_prior=tfd.MultivariateNormalDiag(
    scale_diag=tf.ones([12-1], dtype=tf.float32)),
  num_steps_per_season=[31, 28, 31, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 30, 31, 30, 31],
  initial_step=22)

Note that we've used initial_step=22 to denote that the model begins on January 23 (steps are zero-indexed). This version works over time periods not involving a leap year. A general implementation of month-of-year seasonality would require additional logic:

num_days_per_month = np.array(
  [[31, 28, 31, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 30, 31, 30, 31],
   [31, 29, 31, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 30, 31, 30, 31],  # year with leap day
   [31, 28, 31, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 30, 31, 30, 31],
   [31, 28, 31, 30, 30, 31, 31, 31, 30, 31, 30, 31]])

month_of_year = ConstrainedSeasonalStateSpaceModel(
  num_timesteps=4 * 365 + 2,  # 8 years with leap days
  num_seasons=12,
  drift_scale=0.1,
  initial_state_prior=tfd.MultivariateNormalDiag(
    scale_diag=tf.ones([12-1], dtype=tf.float32)),
  num_steps_per_season=num_days_per_month,
  initial_step=22)

Attributes:

  • allow_nan_stats: Python bool describing behavior when a stat is undefined.

    Stats return +/- infinity when it makes sense. E.g., the variance of a Cauchy distribution is infinity. However, sometimes the statistic is undefined, e.g., if a distribution's pdf does not achieve a maximum within the support of the distribution, the mode is undefined. If the mean is undefined, then by definition the variance is undefined. E.g. the mean for Student's T for df = 1 is undefined (no clear way to say it is either + or - infinity), so the variance = E[(X - mean)**2] is also undefined.

  • batch_shape: Shape of a single sample from a single event index as a TensorShape.

    May be partially defined or unknown.

    The batch dimensions are indexes into independent, non-identical parameterizations of this distribution.

  • drift_scale: Standard deviation of the drift in effects between seasonal cycles.

  • dtype: The DType of Tensors handled by this Distribution.

  • event_shape: Shape of a single sample from a single batch as a TensorShape.

    May be partially defined or unknown.

  • final_step: DEPRECATED FUNCTION

  • initial_state_prior

  • initial_step

  • latent_size: DEPRECATED FUNCTION

  • name: Name prepended to all ops created by this Distribution.

  • name_scope: Returns a tf.name_scope instance for this class.

  • num_seasons: Number of seasons.

  • num_steps_per_season: Number of steps in each season.

  • num_timesteps

  • observation_matrix

  • observation_noise

  • observation_noise_scale: Standard deviation of the observation noise.

  • observation_size

  • parameters: Dictionary of parameters used to instantiate this Distribution.

  • reparameterization_type: Describes how samples from the distribution are reparameterized.

    Currently this is one of the static instances tfd.FULLY_REPARAMETERIZED or tfd.NOT_REPARAMETERIZED.

  • submodules: Sequence of all sub-modules.

    Submodules are modules which are properties of this module, or found as properties of modules which are properties of this module (and so on).

a = tf.Module()
b = tf.Module()
c = tf.Module()
a.b = b
b.c = c
assert list(a.submodules) == [b, c]
assert list(b.submodules) == [c]
assert list(c.submodules) == []
  • trainable_variables: Sequence of trainable variables owned by this module and its submodules.

  • transition_matrix

  • transition_noise

  • validate_args: Python bool indicating possibly expensive checks are enabled.

  • variables: Sequence of variables owned by this module and its submodules.

Methods

__getitem__

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__getitem__(
    slices
)

Slices the batch axes of this distribution, returning a new instance.

b = tfd.Bernoulli(logits=tf.zeros([3, 5, 7, 9]))
b.batch_shape  # => [3, 5, 7, 9]
b2 = b[:, tf.newaxis, ..., -2:, 1::2]
b2.batch_shape  # => [3, 1, 5, 2, 4]

x = tf.random.normal([5, 3, 2, 2])
cov = tf.matmul(x, x, transpose_b=True)
chol = tf.cholesky(cov)
loc = tf.random.normal([4, 1, 3, 1])
mvn = tfd.MultivariateNormalTriL(loc, chol)
mvn.batch_shape  # => [4, 5, 3]
mvn.event_shape  # => [2]
mvn2 = mvn[:, 3:, ..., ::-1, tf.newaxis]
mvn2.batch_shape  # => [4, 2, 3, 1]
mvn2.event_shape  # => [2]

Args:

  • slices: slices from the [] operator

Returns:

  • dist: A new tfd.Distribution instance with sliced parameters.

__iter__

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__iter__()

backward_smoothing_pass

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backward_smoothing_pass(
    filtered_means, filtered_covs, predicted_means, predicted_covs
)

Run the backward pass in Kalman smoother.

The backward smoothing is using Rauch, Tung and Striebel smoother as as discussed in section 18.3.2 of Kevin P. Murphy, 2012, Machine Learning: A Probabilistic Perspective, The MIT Press. The inputs are returned by forward_filter function.

Args:

  • filtered_means: Means of the per-timestep filtered marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size].
  • filtered_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep filtered marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size].
  • predicted_means: Means of the per-timestep predictive distributions over latent states, p(z[t+1] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size].
  • predicted_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep predictive distributions over latent states, p(z[t+1] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size].

Returns:

  • posterior_means: Means of the smoothed marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[1:T]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size], which is of the same shape as filtered_means.
  • posterior_covs: Covariances of the smoothed marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[1:T]), as a Tensor of shape batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size]. which is of the same shape as filtered_covs.

batch_shape_tensor

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batch_shape_tensor(
    name='batch_shape_tensor'
)

Shape of a single sample from a single event index as a 1-D Tensor.

The batch dimensions are indexes into independent, non-identical parameterizations of this distribution.

Args:

  • name: name to give to the op

Returns:

  • batch_shape: Tensor.

cdf

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cdf(
    value, name='cdf', **kwargs
)

Cumulative distribution function.

Given random variable X, the cumulative distribution function cdf is:

cdf(x) := P[X <= x]

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • cdf: a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

copy

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copy(
    **override_parameters_kwargs
)

Creates a deep copy of the distribution.

Args:

  • **override_parameters_kwargs: String/value dictionary of initialization arguments to override with new values.

Returns:

  • distribution: A new instance of type(self) initialized from the union of self.parameters and override_parameters_kwargs, i.e., dict(self.parameters, **override_parameters_kwargs).

covariance

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covariance(
    name='covariance', **kwargs
)

Covariance.

Covariance is (possibly) defined only for non-scalar-event distributions.

For example, for a length-k, vector-valued distribution, it is calculated as,

Cov[i, j] = Covariance(X_i, X_j) = E[(X_i - E[X_i]) (X_j - E[X_j])]

where Cov is a (batch of) k x k matrix, 0 <= (i, j) < k, and E denotes expectation.

Alternatively, for non-vector, multivariate distributions (e.g., matrix-valued, Wishart), Covariance shall return a (batch of) matrices under some vectorization of the events, i.e.,

Cov[i, j] = Covariance(Vec(X)_i, Vec(X)_j) = [as above]

where Cov is a (batch of) k' x k' matrices, 0 <= (i, j) < k' = reduce_prod(event_shape), and Vec is some function mapping indices of this distribution's event dimensions to indices of a length-k' vector.

Args:

  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • covariance: Floating-point Tensor with shape [B1, ..., Bn, k', k'] where the first n dimensions are batch coordinates and k' = reduce_prod(self.event_shape).

cross_entropy

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cross_entropy(
    other, name='cross_entropy'
)

Computes the (Shannon) cross entropy.

Denote this distribution (self) by P and the other distribution by Q. Assuming P, Q are absolutely continuous with respect to one another and permit densities p(x) dr(x) and q(x) dr(x), (Shannon) cross entropy is defined as:

H[P, Q] = E_p[-log q(X)] = -int_F p(x) log q(x) dr(x)

where F denotes the support of the random variable X ~ P.

Args:

Returns:

  • cross_entropy: self.dtype Tensor with shape [B1, ..., Bn] representing n different calculations of (Shannon) cross entropy.

entropy

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entropy(
    name='entropy', **kwargs
)

Shannon entropy in nats.

event_shape_tensor

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event_shape_tensor(
    name='event_shape_tensor'
)

Shape of a single sample from a single batch as a 1-D int32 Tensor.

Args:

  • name: name to give to the op

Returns:

  • event_shape: Tensor.

forward_filter

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forward_filter(
    x, mask=None
)

Run a Kalman filter over a provided sequence of outputs.

Note that the returned values filtered_means, predicted_means, and observation_means depend on the observed time series x, while the corresponding covariances are independent of the observed series; i.e., they depend only on the model itself. This means that the mean values have shape concat([sample_shape(x), batch_shape, [num_timesteps, {latent/observation}_size]]), while the covariances have shape concat[(batch_shape, [num_timesteps, {latent/observation}_size, {latent/observation}_size]]), which does not depend on the sample shape.

Args:

  • x: a float-type Tensor with rightmost dimensions [num_timesteps, observation_size] matching self.event_shape. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions are interpreted as a sample shape.
  • mask: optional bool-type Tensor with rightmost dimension [num_timesteps]; True values specify that the value of x at that timestep is masked, i.e., not conditioned on. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions must match or be broadcastable to the sample shape of x. Default value: None.

Returns:

  • log_likelihoods: Per-timestep log marginal likelihoods log p(x[t] | x[:t-1]) evaluated at the input x, as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps].
  • filtered_means: Means of the per-timestep filtered marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size].
  • filtered_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep filtered marginal distributions p(z[t] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(mask) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size]. Note that the covariances depend only on the model and the mask, not on the data, so this may have fewer dimensions than filtered_means.
  • predicted_means: Means of the per-timestep predictive distributions over latent states, p(z[t+1] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size].
  • predicted_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep predictive distributions over latent states, p(z[t+1] | x[:t]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(mask) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size]. Note that the covariances depend only on the model and the mask, not on the data, so this may have fewer dimensions than predicted_means.
  • observation_means: Means of the per-timestep predictive distributions over observations, p(x[t] | x[:t-1]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, observation_size].
  • observation_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep predictive distributions over observations, p(x[t] | x[:t-1]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(mask) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, observation_size, observation_size]. Note that the covariances depend only on the model and the mask, not on the data, so this may have fewer dimensions than observation_means.

is_scalar_batch

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is_scalar_batch(
    name='is_scalar_batch'
)

Indicates that batch_shape == [].

Args:

  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.

Returns:

  • is_scalar_batch: bool scalar Tensor.

is_scalar_event

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is_scalar_event(
    name='is_scalar_event'
)

Indicates that event_shape == [].

Args:

  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.

Returns:

  • is_scalar_event: bool scalar Tensor.

kl_divergence

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kl_divergence(
    other, name='kl_divergence'
)

Computes the Kullback--Leibler divergence.

Denote this distribution (self) by p and the other distribution by q. Assuming p, q are absolutely continuous with respect to reference measure r, the KL divergence is defined as:

KL[p, q] = E_p[log(p(X)/q(X))]
         = -int_F p(x) log q(x) dr(x) + int_F p(x) log p(x) dr(x)
         = H[p, q] - H[p]

where F denotes the support of the random variable X ~ p, H[., .] denotes (Shannon) cross entropy, and H[.] denotes (Shannon) entropy.

Args:

Returns:

  • kl_divergence: self.dtype Tensor with shape [B1, ..., Bn] representing n different calculations of the Kullback-Leibler divergence.

latent_size_tensor

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latent_size_tensor()

latents_to_observations

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latents_to_observations(
    latent_means, latent_covs
)

Push latent means and covariances forward through the observation model.

Args:

  • latent_means: float Tensor of shape [..., num_timesteps, latent_size]
  • latent_covs: float Tensor of shape [..., num_timesteps, latent_size, latent_size].

Returns:

  • observation_means: float Tensor of shape [..., num_timesteps, observation_size]
  • observation_covs: float Tensor of shape [..., num_timesteps, observation_size, observation_size]

log_cdf

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log_cdf(
    value, name='log_cdf', **kwargs
)

Log cumulative distribution function.

Given random variable X, the cumulative distribution function cdf is:

log_cdf(x) := Log[ P[X <= x] ]

Often, a numerical approximation can be used for log_cdf(x) that yields a more accurate answer than simply taking the logarithm of the cdf when x << -1.

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • logcdf: a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

log_prob

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log_prob(
    value, name='log_prob', **kwargs
)

Log probability density/mass function.

Additional documentation from LinearGaussianStateSpaceModel:

kwargs:
  • mask: optional bool-type Tensor with rightmost dimension [num_timesteps]; True values specify that the value of x at that timestep is masked, i.e., not conditioned on. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions must match or be broadcastable to the sample shape of x. Default value: None.

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • log_prob: a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

log_survival_function

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log_survival_function(
    value, name='log_survival_function', **kwargs
)

Log survival function.

Given random variable X, the survival function is defined:

log_survival_function(x) = Log[ P[X > x] ]
                         = Log[ 1 - P[X <= x] ]
                         = Log[ 1 - cdf(x) ]

Typically, different numerical approximations can be used for the log survival function, which are more accurate than 1 - cdf(x) when x >> 1.

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

mean

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mean(
    name='mean', **kwargs
)

Mean.

mode

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mode(
    name='mode', **kwargs
)

Mode.

observation_size_tensor

View source

observation_size_tensor()

param_shapes

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@classmethod
param_shapes(
    cls, sample_shape, name='DistributionParamShapes'
)

Shapes of parameters given the desired shape of a call to sample().

This is a class method that describes what key/value arguments are required to instantiate the given Distribution so that a particular shape is returned for that instance's call to sample().

Subclasses should override class method _param_shapes.

Args:

  • sample_shape: Tensor or python list/tuple. Desired shape of a call to sample().
  • name: name to prepend ops with.

Returns:

dict of parameter name to Tensor shapes.

param_static_shapes

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@classmethod
param_static_shapes(
    cls, sample_shape
)

param_shapes with static (i.e. TensorShape) shapes.

This is a class method that describes what key/value arguments are required to instantiate the given Distribution so that a particular shape is returned for that instance's call to sample(). Assumes that the sample's shape is known statically.

Subclasses should override class method _param_shapes to return constant-valued tensors when constant values are fed.

Args:

  • sample_shape: TensorShape or python list/tuple. Desired shape of a call to sample().

Returns:

dict of parameter name to TensorShape.

Raises:

  • ValueError: if sample_shape is a TensorShape and is not fully defined.

posterior_marginals

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posterior_marginals(
    x, mask=None
)

Run a Kalman smoother to return posterior mean and cov.

Note that the returned values smoothed_means depend on the observed time series x, while the smoothed_covs are independent of the observed series; i.e., they depend only on the model itself. This means that the mean values have shape concat([sample_shape(x), batch_shape, [num_timesteps, {latent/observation}_size]]), while the covariances have shape concat[(batch_shape, [num_timesteps, {latent/observation}_size, {latent/observation}_size]]), which does not depend on the sample shape.

This function only performs smoothing. If the user wants the intermediate values, which are returned by filtering pass forward_filter, one could get it by:

(log_likelihoods,
 filtered_means, filtered_covs,
 predicted_means, predicted_covs,
 observation_means, observation_covs) = model.forward_filter(x)
smoothed_means, smoothed_covs = model.backward_smoothing_pass(x)

where x is an observation sequence.

Args:

  • x: a float-type Tensor with rightmost dimensions [num_timesteps, observation_size] matching self.event_shape. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions are interpreted as a sample shape.
  • mask: optional bool-type Tensor with rightmost dimension [num_timesteps]; True values specify that the value of x at that timestep is masked, i.e., not conditioned on. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions must match or be broadcastable to the sample shape of x. Default value: None.

Returns:

  • smoothed_means: Means of the per-timestep smoothed distributions over latent states, p(z[t] | x[:T]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, observation_size].
  • smoothed_covs: Covariances of the per-timestep smoothed distributions over latent states, p(z[t] | x[:T]), as a Tensor of shape sample_shape(mask) + batch_shape + [num_timesteps, observation_size, observation_size]. Note that the covariances depend only on the model and the mask, not on the data, so this may have fewer dimensions than filtered_means.

posterior_sample

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posterior_sample(
    x, sample_shape, mask=None, seed=None, name=None
)

Draws samples from the posterior over latent trajectories.

This method uses Durbin-Koopman sampling [1], an efficient algorithm to sample from the posterior latents of a linear Gaussian state space model. The cost of drawing a sample is equal to the cost of drawing a prior sample (.sample(sample_shape)), plus the cost of Kalman smoothing ( .posterior_marginals(...) on both the observed time series and the prior sample. This method is significantly more efficient in graph mode, because it uses only the posterior means and can elide the unneeded calculation of marginal covariances.

[1] Durbin, J. and Koopman, S.J. A simple and efficient simulation smoother for state space time series analysis. Biometrika 89(3):603-615, 2002. https://www.jstor.org/stable/4140605

Args:

  • x: a float-type Tensor with rightmost dimensions [num_timesteps, observation_size] matching self.event_shape. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable with self.batch_shape.
  • sample_shape: int Tensor shape of samples to draw.
  • mask: optional bool-type Tensor with rightmost dimension [num_timesteps]; True values specify that the value of x at that timestep is masked, i.e., not conditioned on. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable with self.batch_shape and x.shape[:-2]. Default value: None.
  • seed: Python int random seed.
  • name: Python str name for ops generated by this method.

Returns:

  • latent_posterior_sample: Float Tensor of shape concat([sample_shape, batch_shape, [num_timesteps, latent_size]]), where batch_shape is the broadcast shape of self.batch_shape, x.shape[:-2], and mask.shape[:-1], representing n samples from the posterior over latent states given the observed value x.

prob

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prob(
    value, name='prob', **kwargs
)

Probability density/mass function.

Additional documentation from LinearGaussianStateSpaceModel:

kwargs:
  • mask: optional bool-type Tensor with rightmost dimension [num_timesteps]; True values specify that the value of x at that timestep is masked, i.e., not conditioned on. Additional dimensions must match or be broadcastable to self.batch_shape; any further dimensions must match or be broadcastable to the sample shape of x. Default value: None.

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • prob: a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

quantile

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quantile(
    value, name='quantile', **kwargs
)

Quantile function. Aka 'inverse cdf' or 'percent point function'.

Given random variable X and p in [0, 1], the quantile is:

quantile(p) := x such that P[X <= x] == p

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • quantile: a Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

sample

View source

sample(
    sample_shape=(), seed=None, name='sample', **kwargs
)

Generate samples of the specified shape.

Note that a call to sample() without arguments will generate a single sample.

Args:

  • sample_shape: 0D or 1D int32 Tensor. Shape of the generated samples.
  • seed: Python integer or tfp.util.SeedStream instance, for seeding PRNG.
  • name: name to give to the op.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • samples: a Tensor with prepended dimensions sample_shape.

stddev

View source

stddev(
    name='stddev', **kwargs
)

Standard deviation.

Standard deviation is defined as,

stddev = E[(X - E[X])**2]**0.5

where X is the random variable associated with this distribution, E denotes expectation, and stddev.shape = batch_shape + event_shape.

Args:

  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • stddev: Floating-point Tensor with shape identical to batch_shape + event_shape, i.e., the same shape as self.mean().

survival_function

View source

survival_function(
    value, name='survival_function', **kwargs
)

Survival function.

Given random variable X, the survival function is defined:

survival_function(x) = P[X > x]
                     = 1 - P[X <= x]
                     = 1 - cdf(x).

Args:

  • value: float or double Tensor.
  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

Tensor of shape sample_shape(x) + self.batch_shape with values of type self.dtype.

variance

View source

variance(
    name='variance', **kwargs
)

Variance.

Variance is defined as,

Var = E[(X - E[X])**2]

where X is the random variable associated with this distribution, E denotes expectation, and Var.shape = batch_shape + event_shape.

Args:

  • name: Python str prepended to names of ops created by this function.
  • **kwargs: Named arguments forwarded to subclass implementation.

Returns:

  • variance: Floating-point Tensor with shape identical to batch_shape + event_shape, i.e., the same shape as self.mean().

with_name_scope

@classmethod
with_name_scope(
    cls, method
)

Decorator to automatically enter the module name scope.

class MyModule(tf.Module):
  @tf.Module.with_name_scope
  def __call__(self, x):
    if not hasattr(self, 'w'):
      self.w = tf.Variable(tf.random.normal([x.shape[1], 64]))
    return tf.matmul(x, self.w)

Using the above module would produce tf.Variables and tf.Tensors whose names included the module name:

mod = MyModule()
mod(tf.ones([8, 32]))
# ==> <tf.Tensor: ...>
mod.w
# ==> <tf.Variable ...'my_module/w:0'>

Args:

  • method: The method to wrap.

Returns:

The original method wrapped such that it enters the module's name scope.